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Weather risk, energy prices and the daily palm oil news — all in one place.

Weather & ENSO

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ENSOEl NiñoONI +1.8°C
RegionNext 7dPast 30dStatus
Peninsular Malaysia38 mm125 mmNormal
Sabah64 mm126 mmNormal
Sarawak73 mm76 mmNormal
Sumatra/Riau37 mm124 mmNormal
Kalimantan1 mm19 mmDry

Next 7d is forecast (MET Norway); past 30d is observed (NASA POWER, ~2-day lag). Status reflects the 7-day outlook.

Energy Desk

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Brent crude$104.61 / bbl
last session 0.00%
7 days 8.65%
15 days 18.74%
30 days 13.68%
trending upas of Sep 13, 2026
$69Brent, past 3 months$110

Crude is trending higher across both the week and the month. Firmer crude improves biodiesel blend economics, lending support to palm oil demand.

Latest news & briefs

Read The Palm Oil Daily →

Aug 29, 2026

Palm oil facts

The 1848 Bogor Seedlings: Tracing the Oil Palm's Southeast Asian Lineage

How four seedlings from Mauritius and their descendants became the genetic base of Malaysia and Indonesia's plantations.

Products explained

How Cocoa Butter Substitute Is Made from Palm Kernel Stearin

A practical guide to CBS production, from fractionation to tempering, for first-time buyers.

Products explained

Palm Kernel Oil Production: From Cracking to Refining, a Buyer's Guide

A technical walkthrough of palm kernel oil processing, its commercial drivers, and sourcing checkpoints for industrial buyers.

Market data

Palm Oil Steady Near $1,143 as El Niño, Stocks, and Weak Crude Balance

Malaysian CPO benchmark edges up 0.4% on supply fears, but ample stocks and soft Brent cap gains.

Market brief

Palm Oil Consolidates but Bearish Supply and Energy Factors Hold the Upper Hand

Malaysian CPO edges up 0.4% to $1,143/MT, but our model outlook sees three bullish forces losing ground to five bearish ones—keeping the near-term bias tilted lower.

Policy & energy watch

B50 Smooth Rollout and Storage Push Reshape Palm Oil Flows

Expanding FAME capacity and strong biodiesel uptake point to higher domestic palm consumption and new compliance considerations.

Products explained

Hydrogenated Palm Products: HPO, HPS and Powdered Fats for Buyers

A practical guide to hydrogenation in palm oil processing, covering HPO, HPS, powdered fats, key specifications and end uses for procurement.

Market brief

El Niño Fears Offset Ample July Stocks in Palm Oil

Malaysian CPO firms near $1,143/MT while B50 demand and dry weather support prices after MPOB reported larger output and inventories.

Policy & energy watch

Indonesia B50 Push, Dry Weather Shape Palm Oil Policy Outlook

Biodiesel mandate advances and El Niño dryness color near-term CPO trade as buyers weigh supply.

Market brief

Palm Oil Rebounds on El Niño Supply Fears, But Ample Stocks Cap Gains

Malaysian CPO edges up 0.4% to $1,143/MT; July stocks rise 7.2%, but El Niño supply worries and B50 biodiesel demand underpin prices.

Aug 27, 2026

Palm oil facts

Atlantic Trade Era: How Palm Oil Became West Africa's Major Export After Slave Trade Aboli

From 'legitimate commerce' to global commodity: the historical pivot that shaped West Africa's palm oil industry.

Buyer's guide

How to read a palm oil certificate of analysis before you pay

A practical field guide for procurement managers and first-time buyers on verifying quality specs in a palm oil CoA.

Weather & crops

El Niño persists across palm belt; dry Sumatra, Kalimantan, Sarawak raise yield concerns

Dry conditions in key Indonesian and Malaysian regions, with El Niño still active, point to lagged yield risks even as current output rises.

Market brief

Palm oil steadies near $1,138 as El Niño fears battle high Malaysian stocks

Bullish and bearish factors are evenly matched; our model sees mild gains with consolidation into month-end.

Policy & energy watch

B50 Review Talk Meets Higher Biodiesel Use and Export Levy Hopes

Indonesian policy signals point to supply risks from fires and El Niño while domestic biodiesel demand and levy expectations shape market tone.

Palm oil facts

Why Palm Oil Is Semi-Solid at Room Temperature and Why Industry Likes That

The natural balance of saturated and unsaturated fats gives palm oil a semi-solid state without hydrogenation, useful for bakery fats, spreads and frying.

Market brief

El Niño supply fears collide with high Malaysian stocks as CPO slips to $1,138

Malaysian CPO eases 1.1% to $1,138/tonne; MPOB July output and stocks rise, while dry weather and Indonesia B50 demand keep upside bias.

Policy & energy watch

El Niño Supply Fears Deepen as Gapki Sees 8-10% Output Cut Risk

Industry and Gapki warn El Niño could cut 2027 CPO output by 8-10%, reinforcing supply-tightening outlook.

Market brief

Palm Oil Eases on Profit-Taking, Stocks Build; El Niño Fears Persist

Malaysian CPO slips 1.0% to $1,139/MT as July stockpiles rise 3.32%; bullish next-week outlook holds on B50 and weather risks.

Aug 26, 2026

Market brief

El Niño Threatens CPO Output by 5M Tonnes, B50 in Spotlight

Industry warns severe El Niño could cut output by up to 5 million tonnes, raising supply risks for palm oil buyers.

Market brief

Indonesia-Malaysia Pricing Spat Risks Shifting CPO Trade Flows

Jakarta challenges Kuala Lumpur's export reference price role, a move that could reshape palm oil pricing and trade dynamics.

Palm oil facts

The Deli dura: how a handful of Sumatra palms built an industry

From a few estate trees to the genetic base of modern oil palm, the Deli dura story

Market data

Ageing Estates and Replanting Lag: The Supply Risk Beneath Palm Oil's Price Floor

Malaysian output data and dry El Niño weather sharpen focus on how much planted area has passed peak yield — and what that means for supply this decade.

Policy & energy watch

MSPO Explained: How Malaysia's Mandatory Palm Oil Certification Shapes Buyer Paperwork

A practical guide to MSPO, its divergence from RSPO, and the compliance documents traders must track.

Market brief

Palm Oil Slips as July Stock Build and Technical Fatigue Outweigh Bullish Spread Support

Malaysian CPO trades around $1,150/MT after a 7-day rally, but bullish BOPO and Indonesian policy are offset by peak production and profit-taking, keeping near-term risks tilted lo

Sustainability

MSPO and ISPO: National Palm Oil Certification Explained

What procurement managers and first-time buyers should know about Malaysia's and Indonesia's mandatory national sustainability schemes.

Market brief

Palm Oil Consolidates After July Stock Build; Biodiesel, El Niño Limit Downside

Malaysian CPO slipped 1.0% to about $1,150/MT as MPOB July stocks rose 7.2%, while Indonesia’s B50 push and dry weather keep a floor under prices.

Policy & energy watch

Indonesia B50, Export Levy Gains Underpin CPO; Supply Risks Persist

Policy watch: B50 mandate and higher levy revenue support prices, but El Niño dryness and stock builds cap gains.

Market brief

Palm Oil Steadies After Rally; MPOB Stocks, Weather, and Indonesia Policy in Focus

Malaysian CPO slips 1% on profit-taking; MPOB July stocks up 7.2% MoM; El Niño dry weather in Sarawak and Kalimantan supports prices.

Aug 25, 2026

Market brief

Indonesia plans national commodity exchange in challenge to Malaysia's palm pricing

Correction: the bourse was announced for a January 2027 launch, not launched. Jakarta targets greater influence over benchmark palm oil trade.

Policy & energy watch

How Export Bans Move Prices: Lessons From Indonesia's 2022 Palm Oil Ban

A step-by-step look at how a producing country's export restriction reaches your landed cost, and what it taught buyers about supply concentration.

Compliance

Quality Specs Compared: FFA, Moisture, Iodine, Colour in India, China, EU

How import quality limits are structured across key markets and what buyers should specify.

Products explained

Oil palm and carbon: what peatland versus mineral-soil research says

A plain-language guide to the emissions evidence on oil palm, separating what is well established from what remains contested.

Weather & crops

El Niño Lingers: Dry Belts in Sarawak, Kalimantan Raise Yield-Lag Concerns

Dry weather in key Malaysian and Indonesian palm regions persists under El Niño, with yield impacts expected to lag into 2027.

Market brief

Palm oil hits 52-week high but overbought signals point to near-term pullback

Malaysian CPO at $1,162/MT after five sessions, yet RSI 78 and ample July stocks put downside pressure on the market.

Policy & energy watch

Indonesia's B50 Mandate Tightens Palm Supply Signals as Export Levy Rises

Firm biodiesel demand and a higher export levy point to more palm oil staying in domestic tanks, while outreach prepares stakeholders for B50.

Buyer's guide

Letters of Credit in Palm Oil Trade: Payment Security Mechanics for Buyers

A practical guide to using documentary credits for palm oil purchases, covering how the bank intermediary reduces non-payment and non-delivery risk.

Market brief

Palm Oil Consolidates Near Highs as Profit-Taking Meets B50 and El Niño Support

Malaysian CPO holds near $1,162/MT; ample July stocks and peak output cap upside, while B50 mandates and El Niño risks cushion downside.

Policy & energy watch

Indonesia B50 Push Lifts Export Levy Outlook, Bolsters CPO Demand

Strong biodiesel mandate and levy revenue forecasts support prices; El Niño supply risks persist.

Market brief

CPO at 52-week high but pullback risk builds; B50, El Niño underpin

Malaysian CPO benchmark up 1.5% to $1162/MT; profit-taking and ample stocks seen capping gains, while biodiesel mandates and dry weather support.

Weather: NOAA CPC (ENSO) & MET Norway (rainfall). Energy: EIA via FRED. News is AI-assisted analysis with sources linked — information only, not advice. Data credits.

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