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Weather risk, energy prices and the daily palm oil news — all in one place.

Weather & ENSO

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ENSOEl NiñoONI +1.8°C
RegionNext 7dPast 30dStatus
Peninsular Malaysia38 mm125 mmNormal
Sabah64 mm126 mmNormal
Sarawak73 mm76 mmNormal
Sumatra/Riau37 mm124 mmNormal
Kalimantan1 mm19 mmDry

Next 7d is forecast (MET Norway); past 30d is observed (NASA POWER, ~2-day lag). Status reflects the 7-day outlook.

Energy Desk

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Brent crude$104.61 / bbl
last session 0.00%
7 days 8.65%
15 days 18.74%
30 days 13.68%
trending upas of Sep 13, 2026
$69Brent, past 3 months$110

Crude is trending higher across both the week and the month. Firmer crude improves biodiesel blend economics, lending support to palm oil demand.

Latest news & briefs

Read The Palm Oil Daily →

Sep 13, 2026

Products explained

Palm Oil vs Sunflower Oil: How Importers Choose Between Them

A side-by-side look at yield, cost, functionality and sourcing risk in the two oils importers most often swap.

Market brief

Palm Oil Slips but Bullish Structure Holds: B50, Crude and Weak Ringgit Offset MPOB Stock

Malaysian CPO benchmarks fall to about $1,137/MT after a bearish August stock report, yet a wide soy premium, Indonesia's B50 ramp-up and firm Brent keep the balance tilted upward.

Policy & energy watch

Indonesia’s B50 push tightens palm feedstock as full distribution target nears

Domestic blending shift toward 50% palm biodiesel could absorb more CPO, drawing compliance scrutiny from Japan and Europe.

Palm oil facts

Two Oils, One Fruit: A Buyer's Guide to Palm Oil vs. Palm Kernel Oil

How mesocarp oil and kernel oil differ in origin, composition, handling, and typical end uses.

Market brief

Malaysian CPO Slips as August Stock Build Meets B50 Support

CPO near RM4,617/MT after MPOB shows higher stocks and weaker exports; Indonesia’s B50 ramp and firm Brent limit downside.

Policy & energy watch

Indonesia's B50 Ramp-Up Tightens Palm Demand Outlook

Full B50 rollout targeted for October, with Pertamina aiming for complete distribution by end-September.

Market brief

Malaysia Palm Stocks Hit Year High as CPO Futures Slip

MPOB confirms August inventories up 7.48% to 2.82 million tonnes, a 2026 peak, keeping futures near two-week lows.

Sep 12, 2026

Products explained

How Palm Oil Becomes Biodiesel: Transesterification Explained

A step-by-step look at the chemistry, feedstock economics and sourcing checks behind palm methyl ester production.

Market data

Palm Oil Weekly: Stocks Build, Biodiesel Demand Offsets

CPO holds near $1,137/MT as Malaysia's August stock build meets firm Brent and Indonesia's B50 push; our model sees a modest rise.

Market brief

Palm Oil Slips to $1,137 but Biodiesel, Wide BOPO and El Niño Keep Upside Edge

A four-to-two bullish factor balance keeps palm oil's demand and weather premium ahead of August's heavy stock build; our model sees a +0.3% seven-day path.

Products explained

Palm Olein vs Palm Stearin: Fractionation Basics for Buyers

How controlled crystallization splits palm oil into liquid olein and solid stearin, and what that means for specifications and uses.

Market brief

Palm Oil Caught Between MPOB Stock Build and Indonesia B50 Demand Hopes

Malaysia’s benchmark eases to $1,137/MT as August total stocks hit 2.82m tonnes, while biodiesel targets and firm crude limit downside.

Policy & energy watch

Indonesia's B50 Biodiesel Rollout Meets El Niño Caution

Pertamina targets full B50 distribution by end-September as GAPKI urges flexible rules and flags dryness risk.

Market brief

Palm Stocks Confirmed at 2.82m Tonnes as B60 Demand Target Emerges

Malaysia's August build confirmed at a year's high; Indonesia's B50 and B60 plans and firm crude offer the counterweight.

Sep 11, 2026

Sep 10, 2026

Market data

MPOB August 2026: Malaysia Palm Oil Stocks Surge 15.2% as Exports Slip

Production rose 1.4% to 1.82m t and CPO benchmark held near $1,144/MT, but a 15.2% stock jump to 1.65m t signals ample near-term supply.

Buyer's guide

RSPO Supply-Chain Models: IP, Segregated, Mass Balance, Book & Claim

A practical guide to the four certified sustainable palm oil supply-chain models, how each works and where each fits in procurement.

Weather & crops

El Niño Holds at +1.8 as Normal Belt Rainfall Keeps Output Near Peak

Current ENSO state points to a delayed yield risk, while near-term supply hinges on harvest weather and the coming MPOB stock build.

Market brief

Malaysian CPO eases to $1,144 as bearish MPOB stock build and seasonal peak weigh

Four bullish factors—wide BOPO spread, strong crude, Indonesian export costs, El Niño—meet five bearish ones; our model sees the downside with the upper hand near term.

Policy & energy watch

B50 mandate, food-sector demand and EUDR pressure reshape palm oil outlook

Indonesia's B50 rollout is tightening domestic feedstock use, while EU deforestation-rule pushback adds traceability uncertainty for buyers.

Palm oil facts

Palm Oil vs Palm Kernel Oil: Two Distinct Oils from One Fruit

Understand the key differences in source, fatty acid profile, functionality, and procurement implications.

Market brief

CPO rangebound near highs as Malaysia stocks build and B50 support holds

Malaysian benchmark slips to $1,144/MT as July output and stocks climb; biodiesel demand and firm crude limit downside, with traders eyeing August MPOB data.

Policy & energy watch

Indonesia Weighs B50-B60 Path as EUDR Fight Persists

Jakarta's biodiesel escalation meets EU deforestation-law lobbying, with food demand and export compliance in the balance.

Market brief

Palm Holds Near RM4,967 as August Stock Build Confirmed

MPOB confirms Malaysian inventories rose 7.48% to 2.82 million tonnes in August, with the November contract steady as supply peaks.

Sep 09, 2026

Market brief

Indonesia's B60 Plan Could Absorb 23M Tonnes CPO, Raising Export Concerns

Jakarta's 2027 B60 biodiesel mandate may divert a quarter of output, tightening export supply and underpinning prices.

Demand watch

China Palm Oil Demand Watch: Stockpiling, Substitution, and Macro Cues

China's palm oil import appetite faces seasonal stockpiling, soy oil substitution, and currency headwinds amid firm global prices.

Market brief

Indonesia Raises Sept CPO Reference Price 1.1% to $1,007.51/MT

Export tax and levy base climbs, signaling firmer floor for Indonesian crude palm oil in a steady market.

Sustainability

Smallholders and Certified Palm Volumes: What Buyers Need to Know

Certified supply depends on smallholder inclusion; procurement teams must look beyond mill and estate audits.

Market brief

Malaysian CPO Steady Near Highs as Ample July Stocks Meet B50 Demand Hopes

Benchmark around $1,152/MT with Brent near $99/bbl; August stock report and Indonesia's B50 policy seen as near-term swing factors.

Policy & energy watch

Indonesia B50 rollout draws Asian, European interest; B60 prep begins

Jakarta's biodiesel ramp-up tightens domestic supply outlook as buyers watch compliance signals.

Market brief

Palm Holds Near Highs as B50, Crude Support; MPOB Stocks Weigh

CPO steadies near 52-week highs; ample stocks and El Niño weather vie with biodiesel demand and firm crude.

Weather: NOAA CPC (ENSO) & MET Norway (rainfall). Energy: EIA via FRED. News is AI-assisted analysis with sources linked — information only, not advice. Data credits.

When the data points to a trade, our sourcing desk turns it into a firm offer from vetted suppliers.

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