Panel del mercado del aceite de palma

This number is 30% model view and 70% the last traded price held flat. The model is weighted by its own measured accuracy, so when it scores worse than doing nothing its share falls.

↻ Refreshed through the day as new prices and headlines arrive.

CPO is caught between bearish July MPOB stock build (5-month high, stocks/use 12.5%) and ample near-term supply from peak production season, versus strong demand-switching support from a wide $476/MT BOPO spread and structurally bullish El Niño/B40 tailwinds. Technicals are mildly supportive (MACD positive, golden cross) but speculative soyoil positioning is crowded long, raising liquidation risk. With no fresh cargo-surveyor export data and an outdated Indonesian reference price, the market is likely to trade range-bound with a slight downward bias over the next 7 days. Published path: -0.0% over 7 sessions.

Net 7-day: ▲ 0.00% from the last actual close ($1,106, 08-13).

7-day outlook: an AI reading of live market signals, shrunk toward the last traded price by the weight below — fundamentals (MPOB stocks, production, exports, stocks-to-use), technicals (RSI, MACD, Bollinger), Indonesia policy (Kemendag levy, mandates), substitute oils (BOPO spread), climate, weather, currencies, energy, and news. Current blend: 30% AI / 70% no-change baseline (adaptive, based on rolling accuracy). Refreshed hourly. An estimate, not a quote.

Experimental estimate — not a quote, not a guarantee, not investment advice. This 7-day outlook is generated hourly from recent price statistics, seasonality, the El Niño/La Niña state, live news headlines, and AI analysis of palm-oil market drivers. Actual prices will differ. Do your own due diligence before trading.

Not comparable to the 30-day range. The 30-day range published alongside this outlook is a different model measuring a different thing over a different horizon. Neither one’s accuracy implies anything about the other’s, and their numbers should never be read as rivals — this outlook publishes a path, the range deliberately publishes no path at all.

This number is 30% model view and 70% the last traded price held flat. The model is weighted by its own measured accuracy, so when it scores worse than doing nothing its share falls.

↻ Refreshed through the day as new prices and headlines arrive.

CPO is caught between bearish July MPOB stock build (5-month high, stocks/use 12.5%) and ample near-term supply from peak production season, versus strong demand-switching support from a wide $476/MT BOPO spread and structurally bullish El Niño/B40 tailwinds. Technicals are mildly supportive (MACD positive, golden cross) but speculative soyoil positioning is crowded long, raising liquidation risk. With no fresh cargo-surveyor export data and an outdated Indonesian reference price, the market is likely to trade range-bound with a slight downward bias over the next 7 days. Published path: -0.0% over 7 sessions.

Net 7-day: ▲ 0.00% from the last actual close ($1,006, 08-13).

7-day outlook: an AI reading of live market signals, shrunk toward the last traded price by the weight below — fundamentals (MPOB stocks, production, exports, stocks-to-use), technicals (RSI, MACD, Bollinger), Indonesia policy (Kemendag levy, mandates), substitute oils (BOPO spread), climate, weather, currencies, energy, and news. Current blend: 30% AI / 70% no-change baseline (adaptive, based on rolling accuracy). Refreshed hourly. An estimate, not a quote. DERIVED LINE: this is the Malaysian outlook rescaled by the ratio of the Kemendag Indonesian reference price (2026-06-01) to the Malaysian close on that date. It cannot diverge from the Malaysian path, and it does not model Indonesia-specific supply, demand or policy. Treat it as an indicative translation, not an independent Indonesian forecast.

Experimental estimate — not a quote, not a guarantee, not investment advice. This 7-day outlook is generated hourly from recent price statistics, seasonality, the El Niño/La Niña state, live news headlines, and AI analysis of palm-oil market drivers. Actual prices will differ. Do your own due diligence before trading.

Not comparable to the 30-day range. The 30-day range published alongside this outlook is a different model measuring a different thing over a different horizon. Neither one’s accuracy implies anything about the other’s, and their numbers should never be read as rivals — this outlook publishes a path, the range deliberately publishes no path at all.