Pemantau Pasaran Minyak Sawit

↻ Updates every hour as new market data and news become available.

CPO is mixed: July MPOB stocks hit a 5-month high with production up 9.4% MoM, but a wide $477/MT BOPO spread, El Niño anticipation, India's pre-Diwali window, and high Indonesian export costs cushion the downside. Technicals are mildly bullish (MACD positive, golden cross), but the anchor is stale and no live cargo-surveyor/CBOT data is available, so expect rangebound trade with a slight upward drift; confidence is low. Published path: +0.1% over 7 sessions.

Net 7-day: ▲ 0.09% from the last actual close ($1,104, 08-12).

7-day outlook: an AI reading of live market signals, shrunk toward the last traded price by the weight below — fundamentals (MPOB stocks, production, exports, stocks-to-use), technicals (RSI, MACD, Bollinger), Indonesia policy (Kemendag levy, mandates), substitute oils (BOPO spread), climate, weather, currencies, energy, and news. Current blend: 30% AI / 70% no-change baseline (adaptive, based on rolling accuracy). Anchored on the 2026-08-12 close, 2 days old (MPOB publishes at D+1, not at weekends, and can run later still); the market may already have moved without us. Refreshed hourly. An estimate, not a quote.

Experimental estimate — not a quote, not a guarantee, not investment advice. This 7-day outlook is generated hourly from recent price statistics, seasonality, the El Niño/La Niña state, live news headlines, and AI analysis of palm-oil market drivers. Actual prices will differ. Do your own due diligence before trading.

Not comparable to the 30-day range. The 30-day range published alongside this outlook is a different model measuring a different thing over a different horizon. Neither one’s accuracy implies anything about the other’s, and their numbers should never be read as rivals — this outlook publishes a path, the range deliberately publishes no path at all.

↻ Updates every hour as new market data and news become available.

CPO is mixed: July MPOB stocks hit a 5-month high with production up 9.4% MoM, but a wide $477/MT BOPO spread, El Niño anticipation, India's pre-Diwali window, and high Indonesian export costs cushion the downside. Technicals are mildly bullish (MACD positive, golden cross), but the anchor is stale and no live cargo-surveyor/CBOT data is available, so expect rangebound trade with a slight upward drift; confidence is low. Published path: +0.1% over 7 sessions.

Net 7-day: ▲ 0.09% from the last actual close ($1,005, 08-12).

7-day outlook: an AI reading of live market signals, shrunk toward the last traded price by the weight below — fundamentals (MPOB stocks, production, exports, stocks-to-use), technicals (RSI, MACD, Bollinger), Indonesia policy (Kemendag levy, mandates), substitute oils (BOPO spread), climate, weather, currencies, energy, and news. Current blend: 30% AI / 70% no-change baseline (adaptive, based on rolling accuracy). Anchored on the 2026-08-12 close, 2 days old (MPOB publishes at D+1, not at weekends, and can run later still); the market may already have moved without us. Refreshed hourly. An estimate, not a quote. DERIVED LINE: this is the Malaysian outlook rescaled by the ratio of the Kemendag Indonesian reference price (2026-06-01) to the Malaysian close on that date. It cannot diverge from the Malaysian path, and it does not model Indonesia-specific supply, demand or policy. Treat it as an indicative translation, not an independent Indonesian forecast.

Experimental estimate — not a quote, not a guarantee, not investment advice. This 7-day outlook is generated hourly from recent price statistics, seasonality, the El Niño/La Niña state, live news headlines, and AI analysis of palm-oil market drivers. Actual prices will differ. Do your own due diligence before trading.

Not comparable to the 30-day range. The 30-day range published alongside this outlook is a different model measuring a different thing over a different horizon. Neither one’s accuracy implies anything about the other’s, and their numbers should never be read as rivals — this outlook publishes a path, the range deliberately publishes no path at all.